France EUR

France 6-Month BTF Auction

Impact:
None

Latest Release:

Actual:
2.015%
Forecast:
Previous/Revision:
2.021%
Period: Apr 2025

Next Release:

Forecast:
Period: May 2025
What Does It Measure?
The France 6-Month BTF Auction measures the interest rate and demand for French government Treasury Bills (BTFs) with a six-month maturity period, highlighting investor perception of short-term government debt. This national indicator assesses the yield at which these short-term securities are sold, signifying the borrowing costs for the French government and reflecting market sentiment towards economic stability and sovereign credit risk.
Frequency
The France 6-Month BTF Auction takes place weekly, with auction results typically issued on the same day as the event, providing timely insights into the short-term yield environment.
Why Do Traders Care?
Traders monitor this auction closely as it provides insights into the prevailing short-term interest rates and the demand for French sovereign debt, influencing the euro's strength and investor sentiment toward European financial markets. Higher-than-expected yields or weak demand can be bearish for the euro and French stocks as they may reflect rising borrowing costs or decreased confidence, while lower yields with strong demand are typically bullish.
What Is It Derived From?
The auction results are derived from the French Treasury's sale of 6-month BTFs to a variety of market participants, including banks and institutional investors. The yield is determined through a bidding process, where the weighted average yield is calculated based on the accepted bids, reflecting the market's required return for lending money to the government.
Description
The 6-Month BTF Auction results indicate the prevailing yield required by investors for holding short-term French government securities, providing insight into market conditions and the perceived risk of government debt. Preliminary data from the auction can have significant market impacts, as they serve as a baseline for expectations about future monetary policy and interest rate trends. While there are no separate preliminary and final report phases for this auction, real-time results are crucial for immediate market reactions, informing pricing strategies and providing forecasts for related economic indicators.
Additional Notes
The BTF auction is considered a leading indicator as it reflects investor sentiment and expectations regarding short-term interest rates and economic conditions. In the broader European context, these yields can also serve as a comparative measure against other eurozone governments' short-term debt instruments.
Bullish or Bearish for Currency and Stocks
Higher than expected: Bearish for EUR, Bearish for French stocks. Lower than expected: Bullish for EUR, Bullish for French stocks. Hawkish tone: Signaling higher interest rates or inflation concerns, is usually good for the EUR but bad for French stocks due to higher borrowing costs.

Legend

High Potential Impact
This event has a strong potential to move markets significantly. If the ‘Actual’ value differs enough from the forecast or if the ‘Previous’ value is significantly revised, it signals new information that markets may rapidly adjust to.

Medium Potential Impact
This event may cause moderate market movement, especially if the ‘Actual’ deviates from the forecast or there’s a notable revision to the ‘Previous’ value.

Medium Potential Impact
This event is unlikely to affect market pricing unless there’s an unexpected surprise or a major revision to prior data.

Surprise - Currency May Strengthen
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' on a medium or high impact event and historically could strengthen the currency.

Surprise - Currency May Weaken
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' on a medium or high impact event and historically could weaken the currency.

Big Surprise - Currency More Likely To Strengthen
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' more than 75% of historical deviations on a medium or high impact event and may likely strengthen the currency.

Big Surprise - Currency More Likely To Weaken
'Actual' deviated from 'Forecast' more than 75% of historical deviations on a medium or high impact event and may likely weaken the currency.

Green Number Better than forecast for the currency (or previous revise better)
Red Number Worse than forecast for the currency (or previous revise better)
Hawkish Supports higher interest rates to fight inflation, strengthening the currency but weighing on stocks.
Dovish Favors lower rates to boost growth, weakening the currency but lifting stocks.
Date Time Actual Forecast Previous Surprise
2.015%
2.021%
2.021%
2.101%
2.101%
2.092%
2.092%
2.211%
2.211%
2.282%
2.282%
2.306%
2.306%
2.363%
2.363%
2.339%
2.339%
2.339%
2.339%
2.369%
2.369%
2.358%
2.358%
2.395%
2.395%
2.508%
2.508%
2.532%
2.532%
2.593%
2.593%
2.592%
2.592%
2.575%
2.575%
2.641%
2.641%
2.661%
2.661%
2.613%
2.613%
2.724%
2.724%
2.806%
2.806%
2.892%
2.892%
2.778%
2.778%
2.824%
2.824%
2.897%
2.897%
3.016%
3.016%
3.028%
3.028%
3.116%
3.116%
3.227%
3.227%
3.258%
3.258%
3.308%
3.308%
3.285%
3.285%
3.358%
3.358%
3.38%
3.38%
3.245%
3.245%
3.456%
3.456%
3.54%
3.54%
3.537%
3.537%
3.572%
3.572%
3.623%
3.623%
3.628%
3.628%
3.643%
3.643%
3.624%
3.624%
3.6%
3.6%
3.657%
3.657%
3.657%
3.657%
3.67%
3.67%
3.666%
3.666%
3.71%
3.71%
3.71%
3.71%
3.706%
3.706%
3.697%
3.697%
3.722%
3.722%
3.69%
3.69%
3.775%
3.775%
3.747%
3.747%
3.792%
3.792%
3.768%
3.768%
3.746%
3.746%
3.714%
3.714%
3.739%
3.739%
3.687%
3.687%
3.755%
3.755%
3.697%
3.697%
3.766%
3.766%
3.663%
3.663%
3.69%
3.69%
3.739%
3.739%
3.739%
3.739%
3.776%
3.776%
3.788%
3.788%
3.796%
3.796%
3.758%
3.758%
3.797%
3.797%
3.823%
3.823%
3.816%
3.816%
3.825%
3.825%
3.828%
3.828%
3.824%
3.824%
3.828%
3.828%
3.684%
3.684%
3.657%
3.657%
3.671%
3.671%
3.658%
3.658%
3.637%
3.637%
3.585%
3.585%
3.634%
3.634%
3.644%
3.644%
3.671%
3.671%
3.673%
3.673%
3.584%
3.584%
3.551%
3.551%
3.499%
3.499%
3.41%
3.41%
3.394%
3.394%
3.274%
3.274%
3.234%
3.234%
3.128%
3.128%
3.205%
3.205%
3.204%
3.204%
3.216%
3.216%
3.194%
3.194%
3.093%
3.093%
2.861%
2.861%
2.946%
2.946%
2.823%
2.823%
2.819%
2.819%
3.022%
3.022%
2.928%
2.928%
2.906%
2.906%
2.802%
2.802%
2.573%
2.573%
2.578%
2.578%
2.536%
2.536%
2.526%
2.526%
2.413%
2.413%
2.432%
2.432%
2.352%
2.352%
2.011%
2.011%
1.925%
1.925%
1.927%
1.927%
1.838%
1.838%
1.759%
1.759%
1.726%
1.726%
1.68%
1.68%
1.579%
1.579%
1.313%
1.313%
1.191%
1.191%
1.206%
1.206%
1.325%
1.325%
0.89%
0.89%
0.747%
0.747%
0.16%
0.16%
0.084%
0.084%
0.084%
0.084%
0.163%
0.163%
0.177%
0.177%
0.18%
0.18%
0.186%
0.186%
0.076%
0.076%
0.037%
0.037%
-0.021%
-0.021%
-0.163%
-0.163%
-0.096%
-0.096%
-0.178%
-0.178%
-0.295%
-0.295%
-0.4%
-0.4%
-0.471%
-0.471%
-0.477%
-0.477%
-0.519%
-0.519%
-0.541%
-0.541%
-0.561%
-0.561%
-0.579%
-0.579%
-0.652%
-0.652%
-0.616%
-0.616%
-0.667%
-0.667%
-0.706%
-0.706%
-0.721%
-0.721%
-0.702%
-0.702%
-0.678%
-0.678%
-0.677%
-0.677%
-0.627%
-0.627%
-0.66%
-0.66%
-0.67%
-0.67%
-0.646%
-0.646%
-0.624%
-0.624%
-0.64%
-0.64%
-0.675%
-0.675%
-0.824%
-0.824%
-0.863%
-0.863%
-0.847%
-0.847%
-0.8%
-0.8%
-0.711%
-0.711%
-0.684%
-0.684%
-0.685%
-0.685%
-0.667%
-0.667%
-0.675%
-0.675%
-0.679%
-0.679%
-0.677%
-0.677%
-0.681%
-0.681%
-0.675%
-0.675%
-0.668%
-0.668%
-0.665%
-0.665%
-0.691%
-0.691%
-0.672%
-0.672%
-0.673%
-0.673%
-0.68%
-0.68%
-0.642%
-0.642%
-0.64%
-0.64%
-0.641%
-0.641%
-0.643%
-0.643%
-0.65%
-0.65%
-0.646%
-0.646%
-0.649%
-0.649%
-0.641%
-0.641%
-0.645%
-0.645%
-0.635%
-0.635%
-0.63%
-0.63%
-0.638%
-0.638%
-0.627%
-0.627%
-0.629%
-0.629%
-0.622%
-0.622%
-0.633%
-0.633%
-0.621%
-0.621%
-0.627%
-0.627%
-0.62%
-0.62%
-0.604%
-0.604%
-0.619%
-0.619%
-0.603%
-0.603%
-0.616%
-0.616%
-0.635%
-0.635%
-0.635%
-0.635%
-0.627%
-0.627%
-0.624%
-0.624%
-0.621%
-0.621%
-0.627%
-0.627%
-0.605%
-0.605%
-0.719%
-0.719%
-0.682%
-0.682%
-0.646%
-0.646%
-0.618%
-0.618%
-0.602%
-0.602%
-0.628%
-0.628%
-0.653%
-0.653%
-0.652%
-0.652%
-0.678%
-0.678%
-0.637%
-0.637%
-0.609%
-0.609%
-0.603%
-0.603%
-0.583%
-0.583%
-0.576%
-0.576%
-0.577%
-0.577%
-0.579%
-0.579%
-0.606%
-0.606%
-0.605%
-0.605%
-0.631%
-0.631%
-0.59%
-0.59%
-0.562%
-0.562%
-0.576%
-0.576%
-0.552%
-0.552%
-0.557%
-0.557%
-0.531%
-0.531%
-0.529%
-0.529%
-0.507%
-0.507%
-0.513%
-0.513%
-0.513%
-0.513%
-0.519%
-0.519%
-0.516%
-0.516%
-0.505%
-0.505%
-0.455%
-0.455%
-0.427%
-0.427%
-0.414%
-0.414%
-0.445%
-0.445%
-0.479%
-0.479%
-0.478%
-0.478%
-0.535%
-0.535%
-0.615%
-0.615%
-0.672%
-0.672%
-0.628%
-0.628%
-0.589%
-0.589%
-0.587%
-0.592%
-0.595%
-0.595%
-0.576%
-0.576%
-0.576%
-0.576%
-0.589%
-0.589%
-0.616%
-0.616%
-0.648%
-0.648%
-0.627%
-0.627%
-0.619%
-0.619%
-0.609%
-0.609%
-0.596%
-0.596%
-0.632%
-0.632%
-0.645%
-0.645%
-0.615%
-0.615%
-0.599%
-0.599%
-0.627%
-0.627%
-0.614%
-0.614%
-0.591%
-0.591%
-0.624%
-0.624%
-0.699%
-0.699%
-0.707%
-0.707%
-0.701%
-0.701%
-0.73%
-0.73%
-0.678%
-0.678%
-0.658%
-0.658%
-0.589%
-0.589%
-0.596%
-0.596%
-0.601%
-0.601%
-0.568%
-0.568%
-0.581%
-0.581%
-0.583%
-0.583%
-0.565%
-0.565%
-0.544%
-0.544%
-0.557%
-0.557%
-0.55%
-0.55%
-0.562%
-0.562%
-0.562%
-0.562%
-0.573%
-0.573%
-0.54%
-0.54%
-0.515%
-0.515%
-0.521%
-0.521%
-0.524%
-0.524%
-0.529%
-0.529%
-0.522%
-0.522%
-0.527%
-0.527%
-0.559%
-0.54%
-0.53%
-0.53%
-0.523%
-0.523%
-0.501%
-0.501%
-0.494%
-0.494%
-0.522%
-0.522%
-0.545%
-0.545%
-0.566%
-0.566%
-0.574%
-0.574%
-0.576%
-0.576%
-0.569%
-0.569%
-0.651%
-0.651%
-0.645%
-0.645%
-0.657%
-0.657%
-0.652%
-0.652%
-0.655%
-0.655%
-0.667%
-0.667%
-0.66%
-0.66%
-0.666%
-0.666%
-0.67%
-0.67%
-0.588%
-0.588%
-0.581%
-0.581%
-0.583%
-0.583%
-0.586%
-0.586%
-0.596%
-0.596%
-0.59%
-0.59%
-0.616%
-0.616%
-0.612%
-0.612%
-0.622%
-0.622%
-0.596%
-0.596%
-0.532%
-0.532%
-0.554%
-0.554%
-0.567%
-0.567%
-0.564%
-0.564%
-0.598%
-0.598%
-0.604%
-0.604%
-0.601%
-0.601%
-0.59%
-0.59%
-0.595%
-0.595%
-0.583%
-0.58%
-0.573%
-0.573%
-0.564%
-0.564%
-0.563%
-0.563%
-0.567%
-0.567%
-0.566%
-0.566%
-0.566%
-0.566%
-0.569%
-0.569%
-0.576%
-0.576%
-0.594%
-0.594%
-0.621%
-0.621%
-0.647%
-0.647%
-0.623%
-0.623%
-0.589%
-0.589%
-0.581%
-0.581%
-0.587%
-0.587%
-0.584%
-0.584%
-0.57%
-0.57%
-0.576%
-0.576%
-0.542%
-0.542%
-0.56%
-0.56%
-0.616%
-0.616%
-0.792%
-0.792%
-0.758%
-0.758%
-0.691%
-0.691%
-0.671%
-0.671%
-0.693%
-0.693%
-0.672%
-0.672%
-0.667%
-0.667%
-0.659%
-0.659%
-0.644%
-0.644%
-0.637%
-0.637%
-0.614%
-0.614%
-0.629%
-0.629%
-0.644%
-0.644%
-0.627%
-0.627%
-0.637%
-0.637%
-0.636%
-0.636%
-0.642%
-0.642%
-0.636%
-0.636%
-0.644%
-0.644%
-0.644%
-0.644%
-0.584%
-0.584%
-0.536%
-0.536%
-0.536%
-0.536%
-0.551%
-0.551%
-0.604%
-0.604%
-0.631%
-0.631%
-0.591%
-0.591%
-0.596%
-0.596%
-0.593%
-0.593%
-0.587%
-0.587%
-0.609%
-0.609%
-0.607%
-0.607%
-0.552%
-0.552%
-0.532%
-0.532%
-0.557%
-0.557%
-0.504%
-0.504%
-0.528%
-0.528%
-0.552%
-0.552%
-0.598%
-0.598%
-0.618%
-0.618%
-0.741%
-0.741%
-0.717%
-0.717%
-0.656%
-0.656%
-0.657%
-0.657%
-0.698%
-0.661%
-0.551%
-0.551%
-0.54%
-0.54%
-0.532%
-0.532%
-0.633%
-0.633%
-0.688%
-0.688%
-0.715%
-0.715%
-0.732%
-0.732%
-0.692%
-0.692%
-0.653%
-0.653%
-0.676%
-0.676%
-0.703%
-0.703%
-0.63%
-0.63%
-0.662%
-0.662%
-0.66%
-0.66%
-0.673%
-0.673%
-0.67%
-0.67%
-0.623%
-0.623%
-0.583%
-0.583%
-0.565%
-0.565%
-0.59%
-0.59%
-0.586%
-0.586%
-0.595%
-0.595%
-0.601%
-0.601%
-0.587%
-0.587%
-0.556%
-0.556%
-0.555%
-0.555%
-0.57%
-0.57%
-0.581%
-0.581%
-0.572%
-0.572%
-0.547%
-0.547%
-0.512%
-0.512%
-0.5%
-0.5%
-0.493%
-0.493%
-0.486%
-0.486%
-0.503%
-0.503%
-0.498%
-0.498%
-0.485%
-0.485%
-0.475%
-0.487%
-0.493%
-0.493%
-0.441%
-0.441%
-0.431%
-0.431%
-0.423%
-0.423%
-0.434%
-0.434%
-0.419%
-0.419%
-0.438%
-0.438%
-0.432%
-0.432%
-0.391%
-0.391%
-0.375%
-0.375%
-0.376%
-0.376%
-0.372%
-0.372%
-0.365%
-0.365%
-0.382%
-0.382%
-0.399%
-0.399%
-0.397%
-0.397%
-0.317%
-0.317%
-0.286%
-0.286%
-0.354%
-0.354%
-0.318%
-0.318%
-0.278%
-0.278%
-0.256%
-0.256%
-0.256%
-0.256%
-0.252%
-0.252%
-0.207%
-0.207%
-0.202%
-0.202%
-0.207%
-0.207%
-0.203%
-0.203%
-0.188%
-0.188%
-0.194%
-0.194%
-0.194%
-0.194%
-0.207%
-0.207%
-0.211%
-0.211%
-0.201%
-0.201%
-0.201%
-0.201%
-0.201%
-0.201%
-0.196%
-0.196%
-0.207%
-0.207%
-0.188%
-0.188%
-0.184%
-0.184%
-0.184%
-0.184%
-0.171%
-0.171%
-0.18%
-0.18%
-0.182%
-0.182%
-0.192%
-0.192%
-0.189%
-0.189%
-0.175%
-0.175%
-0.177%
-0.177%
-0.181%